ready to iraq and roll?
Here's a handy compendium of, er, evolving Administration quotes on Iraq.
There's been a whole lot going on with the, er, evolving Administration position on Iraq that I've neglected to comment on. However, I do want to make a couple of points, briefly, which I plan to support in more detail later on.
- I don't believe for one second that Bush hasn't made up his mind on whether to attack Iraq. I suspect that he hasn't decided quite how to sell the attack.
- It's sad that it'd be necessary to point out that opposing Saddam isn't a dualism between invading without provocation or doing nothing. However, given that advocates of the attack tend to draw just such an either/or line, I question their intellectual honesty.
- Again, it's sad that this even needs to be said, but I'd need more than airy administration assertions that Iraq poses a threat. The proof--no, the evidence--would be....exactly what, now?
- I'd be a lot more confident of the Administration's ability to manage a "regime change" if it were doing a better job in Afghanistan, where the government we helped install controls little outside the capital, and barely that. A situation, by the way, whose resulting anarchy previously had paved the way for the Taliban...
- Finally, the history of warfare suggests that we should be deeply skeptical of predictions of quick and easy victory, especially because "regime change" would entail doing exactly what we never did in Gulf War Mk I--going into the cities, rooting out entrenched forces well camoflagued among a civilian population, and a lengthy occupation to nurture some kind of replacement regime. We chose not to do so when we had a grand alliance behind us; I have yet to hear how this Administration expects to accomplish these tasks alone despite its evident willingness to do so.
(via Body and Soul, who has a much more eloquent post)